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Letter "J" » Jim O'Sullivan Quotes


«In our forecast, we see consumer spending slowing a little bit in the fourth quarter to 3.1 percent from 3.8 percent for the same period last year, ... The rationale is that as the housing market slows , there'll be a cooling effect in the home wealth effect and the fluctuating energy prices will also have some drag on spending in the months ahead.»
«I don't expect that to happen,»
«The net of it is there's still a strong trend in employment. But all this is pre-Katrina.»
«It could be great for six months for a worker, and then he loses his job.»
«The weight of evidence is showing housing is starting to cool. Prices have continued to rise faster than income. For a while that pattern has been offset by declining mortgage rates, but that's stopped.»
«If housing continues to cool, some weakening will occur in the economy.»
«Five months is not dramatically high.»
«Some of the pickup reflects mix shifts, with payroll growth in above-average-wage sectors accelerating relative to growth in below-average-wage sectors. That said, some legitimate pickup in wage gains is probably credible given the low unemployment rate and the energy-led rise in inflation expectations recently.»
«Clearly the Fed wants to start prepping people for the possibility that they will be tightening later this year,»
«These are not incredibly large numbers, ... Along with the lower tax payments, refunds could add a half-percentage-point of growth to GDP in the first half of the year -- not a dramatic effect, but a bit of a plus.»

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