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Letter "S" » Stephen Roach Quotes


«For the last three years, we've had a two-engine world: the Chinese producer and the American consumer. Both engines are going to slow down. The debate will be whether this two-engine global 747 is in danger of stalling.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«Growth has been chronically weak when compared with any expansion of the past 40 years.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«Global trade is an increasingly large component of the world economy -- now accounting for close to 25 percent of global GDP. So when world trade hits the wall, so should the broader measures of global output.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«That underscores the possibility of yet another shoe to fall in world growth -- all the more reason to stress the protracted nature of this global downturn.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«It's important to stay focused on the interplay between the consumer and the overextended housing market and sharp increases in energy prices, ... That will be key as to whether or not the US economy will sustain itself in 2006.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«Over the 2004-05 interval, looming bond market perils appear to pose the most serious challenges for [leveraged] consumers and property markets -- possibly even resulting in a new deflation scare,»
Author: Stephen Roach
«The Fed's going to move 25 basis points; the question is what about after that,»
Author: Stephen Roach
«An extraordinary deflationary shock in tradable goods has coincided with outsize disinflation in services, resulting in the most deflation-prone business cycle of the modern post-World War II era,»
Author: Stephen Roach
«I fully expect that the Chinese officials will address these tension points, but will not waver from their steadfast commitment on a medium- to longer-term basis of an open capital account and currency convertibility,»
Author: Stephen Roach
«There is good reason to believe that a sharp weakening in the value of the U.S. currency is essential to the global rebalancing that must begin to take place if the world's current account imbalances are to be corrected,»
Author: Stephen Roach

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